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2024-12-14 00:16:50

SINOMACH (ING): It will be "neutral" to stop the easing cycle (temporarily) after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates again.Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: Strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the fields of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions. Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank, told reporters that it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the real estate field and small and medium-sized financial institutions under the circumstances that a clear plan has been issued for the resolution of local government debt risks and targeted measures have been taken. (SSE)According to the report, the Israeli Air Force has completed the investigation of the October 7 incident and will submit it to the Chief of Staff next week.


Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)GBP/USD fell more than 0.50% in the day, and now it is reported at 1.2687.Professor Wu Yin, School of Economics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics: In order to attract more social capital to participate in the construction of industrial innovation system, the Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Wu Yin, a professor at the School of Economics of Southwestern University of Finance and Economics and director of the Institute of Political Economy, said in an interview that the meeting emphasized the important role of scientific and technological innovation in accelerating the formation of new quality productive forces, and made it clear that the core kinetic energy of building a modern industrial system comes from a number of future industries based on scientific and technological innovation. The meeting also emphasized improving the multi-level financial service system, giving sufficient financial support to potential industries and enterprises, and attracting more social capital to participate in the process of industrial innovation system construction. (SSE)


Hangzhou real estate new regulations will be implemented tomorrow, and the housing rate will be improved. official website of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Resources issued the Notice of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Natural Resources on Optimizing the Calculation Rules of Floor Area Ratio and Related Indicators of Construction Projects. This notice shall come into force as of December 13, 2024. After the implementation of the transfer project, the transfer project that has obtained the transfer decision and the newly established reconstruction and expansion project shall be implemented in accordance with the requirements of this notice. If the previous relevant policies are inconsistent with this notice, this notice shall prevail. This means that from tomorrow, all the newly-sold homesteads in Hangzhou can enjoy the new regulations on area identification, such as the closed balcony is only half the area, and the open wind and rain corridor is not included. The biggest surprise is the first article of the new regulations, which encourages diversified parking forms to meet the minimum parking standards, such as independent parking buildings, parking spaces under the ground floor overhead platforms and multi-storey parking spaces inside buildings. For cost reasons, some developers will cancel underground parking spaces and change them into ground parking buildings, and the design of traditional residential quarters in Hangzhou will usher in great changes. As a result, the housing rate of new houses in Hangzhou will increase in the future, and developers will not only have more room to build quality supporting facilities in the community, but also greatly increase the saleable value.Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.The Turkish Foreign Ministry said that Minister Feidan was in Turkey, after the Syrian Ministry of Information said earlier that he was in Damascus.

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